Sweden vs Norway analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.3%
24.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 1922 |
SWE
0 - 2
CSK
49%
22%
28%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 1922 |
SWE
1 - 1
HUN
41%
23%
36%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 1922 |
FIN
1 - 4
SWE
60%
20%
20%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 May. 1922 |
SWE
1 - 2
POL
58%
20%
21%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 1921 |
CSK
2 - 2
SWE
71%
17%
13%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 1922 |
NOR
7 - 0
FRA
51%
21%
28%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1921 |
DEN
3 - 1
NOR
78%
13%
9%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1921 |
SWE
0 - 3
NOR
67%
17%
16%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +2 |
| 19 Jun. 1921 |
NOR
3 - 1
SWE
49%
23%
28%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 May. 1921 |
NOR
3 - 2
FIN
55%
22%
24%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |