Sweden vs Norway analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
3
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
13.7%
10.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1920 |
FIN
1 - 0
SWE
46%
23%
32%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1920 |
ESP
2 - 1
SWE
59%
20%
21%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 1920 |
NED
5 - 4
SWE
73%
15%
12%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1920 |
SWE
9 - 0
GRC
63%
19%
18%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 1920 |
NOR
0 - 3
SWE
46%
23%
31%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1920 |
ITA
2 - 1
NOR
66%
18%
16%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1920 |
CSK
4 - 0
NOR
66%
18%
17%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 1920 |
NOR
3 - 1
GBR
42%
24%
34%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +2 |
| 27 Jun. 1920 |
NOR
0 - 3
SWE
46%
23%
31%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 1920 |
NOR
1 - 1
DEN
31%
24%
45%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |