Sweden vs Norway analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.7%
Win probability
3.33
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.7%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.8%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
10.9%
7.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 1917 |
DEN
1 - 1
SWE
74%
15%
11%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1916 |
SWE
4 - 0
DEN
49%
22%
29%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1916 |
NOR
0 - 0
SWE
40%
24%
36%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1916 |
SWE
2 - 3
USA
65%
18%
17%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 1916 |
SWE
6 - 0
NOR
79%
12%
9%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 1917 |
NOR
1 - 2
DEN
26%
24%
50%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1916 |
NOR
0 - 0
SWE
40%
24%
36%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1916 |
NOR
1 - 1
USA
37%
24%
39%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 1916 |
SWE
6 - 0
NOR
79%
12%
9%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 1916 |
NOR
0 - 2
DEN
29%
24%
48%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |