Sweden vs Norway analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.3%
21.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 1911 |
SWE
2 - 4
GER
57%
20%
24%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1910 |
NOR
0 - 4
SWE
67%
17%
16%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +2 |
| 26 Oct. 1908 |
BEL
2 - 1
SWE
75%
14%
11%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 1908 |
NED
5 - 3
SWE
71%
16%
13%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1908 |
NED
2 - 0
SWE
64%
18%
17%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1910 |
NOR
0 - 4
SWE
67%
17%
16%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 1908 |
SWE
11 - 3
NOR
58%
20%
22%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |