Sweden vs Mexico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.4%
19.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 1984 |
SWE
0 - 1
DEN
62%
23%
15%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1984 |
SWE
4 - 0
MLT
93%
5%
2%
|
85 | 54 | 31 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1984 |
SUI
0 - 0
SWE
37%
27%
35%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1983 |
MEX
2 - 0
SWE
45%
27%
28%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 1983 |
BRB
0 - 4
SWE
16%
23%
62%
|
86 | 37 | 49 | 0 |
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 1984 |
SUN
3 - 0
MEX
79%
15%
6%
|
85 | 93 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1984 |
FIN
0 - 3
MEX
23%
25%
53%
|
85 | 59 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1984 |
DDR
1 - 1
MEX
73%
18%
9%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 1984 |
IRL
0 - 0
MEX
43%
27%
30%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1984 |
ITA
5 - 0
MEX
70%
20%
10%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | -1 |