Sweden vs Mexico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.8%
Win probability
3.89
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.4%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
2%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
+6
5.8%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
3.6%
7-2
1.1%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
9.9%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
5.5%
6-2
2%
7-3
0.4%
8-4
0.1%
+4
14.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
3.1%
6-3
0.8%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
4%
5-3
1.2%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.2%
8.8%
Draw
0-0
0.7%
1-1
2.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
8.8%
6.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1958 |
SWE
3 - 2
SUI
83%
10%
7%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1957 |
GER
1 - 0
SWE
58%
19%
23%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1957 |
SWE
5 - 2
NOR
84%
10%
6%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1957 |
SWE
5 - 1
FIN
90%
7%
4%
|
85 | 47 | 38 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1957 |
DEN
1 - 2
SWE
46%
21%
33%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1956 |
MEX
2 - 1
CHI
66%
18%
17%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1956 |
MEX
0 - 0
ARG
34%
23%
43%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1956 |
MEX
1 - 2
BRA
39%
22%
39%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1956 |
MEX
0 - 2
PER
64%
18%
18%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 1956 |
MEX
1 - 1
CRC
54%
20%
26%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |