Sweden vs Malta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.4%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.5%
7.1%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1987 |
SUN
1 - 3
SWE
67%
20%
13%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1986 |
MLT
0 - 5
SWE
16%
24%
60%
|
87 | 55 | 32 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1986 |
POR
1 - 1
SWE
45%
27%
28%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1986 |
SWE
2 - 0
SUI
63%
23%
13%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1986 |
SWE
1 - 0
ENG
30%
29%
41%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Malta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1987 |
SUI
4 - 1
MLT
82%
12%
6%
|
55 | 80 | 25 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1987 |
POR
2 - 2
MLT
91%
7%
3%
|
54 | 85 | 31 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 1987 |
ITA
5 - 0
MLT
93%
6%
2%
|
54 | 91 | 37 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1986 |
MLT
0 - 2
ITA
6%
22%
72%
|
54 | 91 | 37 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1986 |
MLT
0 - 5
SWE
16%
24%
60%
|
55 | 87 | 32 | -1 |