Sweden vs Luxembourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.2%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
10.2%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.5%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.6%
5.2%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
BLR
0 - 4
SWE
19%
25%
56%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2017 |
BGR
3 - 2
SWE
29%
26%
45%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2017 |
NOR
1 - 1
SWE
26%
27%
47%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2017 |
SWE
2 - 1
FRA
29%
26%
45%
|
89 | 94 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2017 |
PRT
2 - 3
SWE
64%
20%
15%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
FRA
0 - 0
LUX
90%
9%
2%
|
43 | 94 | 51 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2017 |
LUX
1 - 0
BLR
9%
19%
72%
|
42 | 78 | 36 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2017 |
NLD
5 - 0
LUX
92%
7%
1%
|
42 | 92 | 50 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
LUX
2 - 1
ALB
12%
21%
68%
|
40 | 75 | 35 | +2 |
| 28 Mar. 2017 |
LUX
0 - 2
CPV
13%
21%
67%
|
41 | 66 | 25 | -1 |