Sweden vs Lithuania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
93.4%
Win probability
3.6
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.6%
7-0
3%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
<0%
+7
3.5%
6-0
5.9%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
7%
5-0
9.8%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.2%
+5
12%
4-0
13.7%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
17.3%
3-0
15.2%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.4%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.2%
5.1%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
2.4%
2-2
0.7%
3-3
0.1%
0
5.1%
1.3%
Win probability
0.34
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
0.4%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.1%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 1994 |
SWE
4 - 0
BGR
69%
19%
12%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 1994 |
SWE
0 - 1
BRA
41%
26%
33%
|
92 | 96 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 1994 |
ROU
2 - 2
SWE
44%
27%
30%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 1994 |
KSA
1 - 3
SWE
31%
28%
41%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1994 |
BRA
1 - 1
SWE
70%
18%
12%
|
91 | 96 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Lithuania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 1994 |
LTU
1 - 0
LVA
54%
24%
22%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 1994 |
LTU
3 - 0
EST
69%
19%
12%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 May. 1994 |
CZE
5 - 3
LTU
68%
18%
14%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1994 |
LTU
1 - 1
ISR
38%
24%
38%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1993 |
IRL
2 - 0
LTU
89%
8%
3%
|
71 | 89 | 18 | 0 |