Sweden vs Latvia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.2%
Win probability
3.33
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.6%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.7%
3-0
8%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.1%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
11.1%
7.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 1929 |
SWE
4 - 1
EST
82%
11%
7%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1929 |
GER
3 - 0
SWE
46%
22%
32%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 1929 |
SWE
3 - 2
DEN
66%
17%
16%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 1929 |
SWE
3 - 1
FIN
84%
10%
6%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1929 |
SWE
6 - 2
NED
68%
16%
16%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Latvia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1928 |
LVA
1 - 1
EST
60%
20%
20%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1928 |
LTU
1 - 1
LVA
45%
23%
32%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1928 |
LVA
2 - 1
FIN
63%
19%
18%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 1928 |
EST
0 - 1
LVA
56%
21%
23%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 1928 |
LTU
0 - 3
LVA
53%
21%
26%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |