Sweden vs Italy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.4%
18.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1952 |
NOR
1 - 2
SWE
40%
21%
39%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1952 |
FIN
1 - 8
SWE
34%
21%
45%
|
84 | 55 | 29 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 1952 |
SWE
2 - 0
BRD
77%
13%
10%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 1952 |
HUN
6 - 0
SWE
76%
13%
11%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 1952 |
SWE
3 - 1
AUT
64%
17%
19%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 1952 |
HUN
3 - 0
ITA
68%
16%
16%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 1952 |
ITA
8 - 0
USA
80%
12%
8%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1952 |
ITA
1 - 1
ENG
55%
19%
25%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1952 |
BEL
2 - 0
ITA
41%
22%
37%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1951 |
SUI
1 - 1
ITA
37%
23%
40%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |