Sweden vs Italy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
17.6%
19.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 1950 |
SWE
4 - 1
NED
81%
11%
9%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
HUN
5 - 0
SWE
66%
16%
18%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
IRL
1 - 3
SWE
34%
21%
45%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1949 |
DEN
3 - 2
SWE
50%
20%
30%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 1949 |
SWE
3 - 3
NOR
87%
8%
5%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1950 |
AUT
1 - 0
ITA
49%
21%
30%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1950 |
ITA
3 - 1
BEL
83%
10%
7%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1949 |
ENG
2 - 0
ITA
63%
18%
19%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1949 |
HUN
1 - 1
ITA
58%
19%
23%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1949 |
ITA
3 - 1
AUT
75%
14%
12%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |