Sweden vs Italy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
14.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 1926 |
CSK
4 - 2
SWE
52%
21%
27%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1926 |
GER
3 - 3
SWE
41%
23%
36%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1926 |
SWE
2 - 2
CSK
64%
18%
18%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1926 |
SWE
3 - 2
NOR
76%
13%
10%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1925 |
POL
2 - 6
SWE
38%
23%
39%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1926 |
ITA
3 - 2
SUI
61%
20%
19%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1926 |
SUI
1 - 1
ITA
54%
22%
24%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1926 |
ITA
3 - 0
IRL
64%
19%
17%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 1926 |
ITA
3 - 1
CSK
46%
23%
31%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 1925 |
HUN
1 - 1
ITA
69%
17%
14%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |