Sweden vs Israel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
14.3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1980 |
FIN
0 - 2
SWE
18%
20%
62%
|
84 | 58 | 26 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1980 |
SWE
0 - 1
DEN
66%
21%
13%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1979 |
SGP
0 - 5
SWE
15%
22%
63%
|
84 | 42 | 42 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1979 |
MAS
1 - 3
SWE
30%
25%
45%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1979 |
LUX
1 - 1
SWE
17%
22%
61%
|
84 | 42 | 42 | 0 |
Matches
Israel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1980 |
ISR
0 - 0
NIR
60%
22%
19%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1979 |
ISR
4 - 1
GRC
57%
22%
21%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1979 |
ISR
0 - 1
AUT
40%
28%
31%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1978 |
ISR
1 - 1
ROU
45%
28%
27%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1978 |
ISR
1 - 0
BEL
46%
28%
26%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |