Sweden vs Northern Ireland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
13.9%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1981 |
SWE
1 - 2
DEN
62%
23%
15%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1981 |
FIN
2 - 1
SWE
17%
20%
63%
|
83 | 56 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1980 |
ISR
0 - 0
SWE
40%
27%
32%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1980 |
NIR
3 - 0
SWE
40%
27%
33%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1980 |
BGR
2 - 3
SWE
42%
27%
32%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Northern Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1981 |
SCO
2 - 0
NIR
69%
21%
11%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1981 |
NIR
1 - 0
POR
42%
28%
30%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 1981 |
SCO
1 - 1
NIR
69%
21%
10%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1980 |
POR
1 - 0
NIR
62%
24%
14%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 1980 |
NIR
3 - 0
SWE
40%
27%
33%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |