Sweden vs England analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
46.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2018 |
SWE
1 - 0
SUI
45%
25%
31%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2018 |
MEX
0 - 3
SWE
50%
25%
25%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2018 |
GER
2 - 1
SWE
73%
16%
11%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2018 |
SWE
1 - 0
KOR
54%
23%
23%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
SWE
0 - 0
PER
52%
25%
23%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2018 |
COL
1 - 1
ENG
33%
25%
41%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2018 |
ENG
0 - 1
BEL
47%
24%
29%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2018 |
ENG
6 - 1
PAN
76%
16%
8%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2018 |
TUN
1 - 2
ENG
13%
20%
67%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2018 |
ENG
2 - 0
CRC
70%
19%
11%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |