Sweden vs England analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.6%
30%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1965 |
SWE
3 - 0
CYP
78%
13%
9%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1964 |
BRD
1 - 1
SWE
49%
22%
29%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1964 |
SWE
3 - 3
POL
83%
11%
7%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1964 |
NOR
1 - 1
SWE
30%
23%
47%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1964 |
FIN
1 - 0
SWE
28%
22%
51%
|
87 | 44 | 43 | 0 |
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1965 |
BRD
0 - 1
ENG
37%
22%
41%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1965 |
YUG
1 - 1
ENG
46%
21%
33%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1965 |
ENG
1 - 0
HUN
48%
21%
31%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1965 |
ENG
2 - 2
SCO
74%
14%
12%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1964 |
NED
1 - 1
ENG
20%
19%
61%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |