Sweden vs Hungary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
12.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
LVA
0 - 0
SWE
18%
25%
58%
|
94 | 71 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2002 |
RUS
1 - 1
SWE
36%
28%
37%
|
94 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2002 |
SWE
1 - 2
SEN
86%
10%
3%
|
95 | 82 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2002 |
SWE
1 - 1
ARG
23%
24%
54%
|
94 | 98 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2002 |
SWE
2 - 1
NGA
81%
14%
6%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
ISL
0 - 2
HUN
32%
25%
43%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2002 |
HUN
1 - 1
ESP
18%
22%
60%
|
86 | 98 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2002 |
HUN
0 - 2
CRO
39%
26%
36%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2002 |
HUN
2 - 5
BLR
84%
11%
5%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2002 |
MDA
0 - 2
HUN
20%
22%
58%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |