Sweden vs Hungary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
18.2%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.5%
4-4
1%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
20.1%
36.8%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.8%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1955 |
FRA
2 - 0
SWE
44%
21%
35%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1954 |
SWE
2 - 1
AUT
69%
15%
15%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1954 |
SWE
5 - 2
DEN
80%
12%
8%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1954 |
NOR
1 - 1
SWE
39%
21%
40%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1954 |
SUN
7 - 0
SWE
8%
13%
80%
|
85 | 17 | 68 | 0 |
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1955 |
NOR
0 - 5
HUN
24%
20%
56%
|
91 | 71 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1955 |
AUT
2 - 2
HUN
35%
21%
44%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1954 |
SCO
2 - 4
HUN
27%
21%
52%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1954 |
HUN
4 - 1
AUT
84%
10%
7%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1954 |
HUN
4 - 1
CSK
89%
7%
4%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | +1 |