Sweden vs Hungary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
3.19
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.4%
8-4
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
2.9%
6-3
0.8%
7-4
0.2%
8-5
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
4.6%
5-3
1.6%
6-4
0.3%
7-5
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
5.8%
4-3
2.4%
5-4
0.6%
6-5
0.1%
7-6
<0%
+1
18.4%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
0.8%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
1%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
14.8%
16.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1949 |
SWE
3 - 1
IRL
89%
7%
4%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1949 |
SWE
3 - 1
ENG
58%
18%
25%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1948 |
AUT
2 - 1
SWE
53%
20%
28%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1948 |
SWE
1 - 0
DEN
80%
11%
9%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1948 |
FIN
2 - 2
SWE
25%
20%
55%
|
84 | 49 | 35 | +1 |
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 1949 |
HUN
1 - 1
ITA
58%
19%
23%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1949 |
HUN
6 - 1
AUT
69%
15%
16%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1949 |
CSK
5 - 2
HUN
50%
20%
30%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 1948 |
BGR
1 - 0
HUN
25%
20%
55%
|
85 | 60 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1948 |
ROU
1 - 5
HUN
30%
21%
50%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | +1 |