Sweden vs Hungary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.3%
21.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 1912 |
NOR
1 - 2
SWE
57%
20%
23%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1911 |
GER
1 - 3
SWE
64%
18%
18%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 1911 |
FIN
2 - 5
SWE
56%
21%
23%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1911 |
SWE
4 - 1
NOR
59%
19%
22%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 1911 |
SWE
2 - 4
GER
57%
20%
24%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1912 |
AUT
1 - 1
HUN
56%
20%
25%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1912 |
HUN
4 - 4
GER
70%
16%
15%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1911 |
GER
1 - 4
HUN
56%
20%
24%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 1911 |
HUN
2 - 0
AUT
72%
15%
13%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 1911 |
HUN
9 - 0
SUI
65%
18%
18%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |