Sweden vs Netherlands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
59.9%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
9%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2004 |
DEN
2 - 2
SWE
49%
24%
28%
|
94 | 95 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2004 |
ITA
1 - 1
SWE
64%
21%
15%
|
94 | 98 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2004 |
SWE
5 - 0
BGR
67%
19%
14%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
SWE
3 - 1
POL
55%
24%
22%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2004 |
FIN
1 - 3
SWE
28%
26%
46%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2004 |
NED
3 - 0
LVA
93%
6%
1%
|
97 | 74 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2004 |
NED
2 - 3
CZE
65%
20%
16%
|
98 | 94 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2004 |
GER
1 - 1
NED
31%
22%
47%
|
98 | 95 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
NED
0 - 1
IRL
68%
20%
12%
|
98 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2004 |
NED
3 - 0
FRO
95%
4%
1%
|
98 | 57 | 41 | 0 |