Sweden vs Netherlands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.3%
15.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1928 |
DEN
3 - 1
SWE
54%
20%
26%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1928 |
SWE
2 - 0
GER
71%
15%
14%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1928 |
FIN
2 - 3
SWE
35%
22%
43%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 1928 |
SWE
2 - 3
AUT
62%
18%
20%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 1928 |
EST
0 - 1
SWE
31%
22%
46%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1929 |
NED
0 - 2
SCO
52%
22%
26%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1929 |
BEL
3 - 1
NED
46%
22%
32%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1929 |
NED
4 - 0
BEL
67%
17%
16%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1929 |
NED
3 - 2
SUI
73%
15%
12%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1928 |
ITA
3 - 2
NED
57%
20%
22%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |