Sweden vs Wales analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
+3
9.5%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
17.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
13.9%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1988 |
SWE
2 - 0
SUN
32%
30%
39%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1988 |
GER
1 - 1
SWE
27%
25%
48%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1988 |
FIN
0 - 1
SWE
24%
27%
49%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 1988 |
DDR
1 - 4
SWE
56%
24%
20%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1987 |
ITA
2 - 1
SWE
62%
22%
16%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1988 |
WAL
1 - 2
YUG
32%
28%
40%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1987 |
CSK
2 - 0
WAL
71%
19%
10%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1987 |
DEN
1 - 0
WAL
70%
19%
11%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1987 |
WAL
1 - 0
DEN
43%
29%
28%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1987 |
WAL
1 - 1
CSK
37%
30%
33%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | +1 |