Sweden vs Wales analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.5%
Win probability
4.06
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.8%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.9%
7-0
2.4%
8-1
1.2%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.9%
6-0
4.2%
7-1
2.3%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
+6
7.1%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
3.9%
7-2
1.1%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
11.4%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
5.8%
6-2
1.9%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
7.2%
5-2
2.7%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.6%
7%
Draw
0-0
0.7%
1-1
2.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
7%
4.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 1958 |
SWE
2 - 1
HUN
54%
20%
26%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1958 |
SWE
3 - 0
MEX
85%
9%
6%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1958 |
SWE
3 - 2
SUI
83%
10%
7%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1957 |
GER
1 - 0
SWE
58%
19%
23%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1957 |
SWE
5 - 2
NOR
84%
10%
6%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 1958 |
MEX
1 - 1
WAL
75%
14%
11%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1958 |
HUN
1 - 1
WAL
94%
4%
2%
|
72 | 91 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1958 |
WAL
1 - 1
NIR
60%
19%
22%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1958 |
WAL
2 - 0
ISR
69%
16%
14%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +2 |
| 15 Jan. 1958 |
ISR
0 - 2
WAL
72%
15%
13%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |