Sweden vs Finland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.1%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.5%
7.4%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 1981 |
SWE
3 - 0
POR
49%
27%
24%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1981 |
SWE
1 - 0
NIR
63%
24%
14%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1981 |
SWE
1 - 2
DEN
62%
23%
15%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1981 |
FIN
2 - 1
SWE
17%
20%
63%
|
83 | 56 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1980 |
ISR
0 - 0
SWE
40%
27%
32%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 1981 |
FIN
3 - 1
NOR
56%
24%
20%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1981 |
AUT
5 - 1
FIN
89%
8%
3%
|
57 | 87 | 30 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1981 |
FIN
0 - 4
BRD
12%
21%
67%
|
58 | 93 | 35 | -1 |
| 13 May. 1981 |
BGR
4 - 0
FIN
80%
13%
8%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1981 |
FIN
2 - 1
SWE
17%
20%
63%
|
56 | 83 | 27 | +2 |