Sweden vs Finland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.7%
Win probability
3.88
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.5%
7-0
2%
8-1
1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.2%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
2%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
+6
6.2%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
3.6%
7-2
1%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
10.4%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
5.6%
6-2
1.8%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
15%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
7.2%
5-2
2.7%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
3%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.8%
8.1%
Draw
0-0
0.8%
1-1
3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
8.1%
5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1937 |
SWE
0 - 4
ENG
58%
18%
25%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1936 |
FIN
1 - 2
SWE
40%
20%
40%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 1936 |
JPN
3 - 2
SWE
38%
21%
41%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 1936 |
SWE
3 - 4
NOR
77%
12%
10%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 1936 |
SWE
2 - 0
NOR
76%
13%
11%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 1937 |
FIN
0 - 8
ENG
33%
20%
47%
|
60 | 84 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1936 |
FIN
1 - 2
SWE
40%
20%
40%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 1936 |
NOR
0 - 2
FIN
79%
12%
9%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | +2 |
| 20 Aug. 1936 |
EST
2 - 2
FIN
51%
21%
28%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1936 |
PER
7 - 3
FIN
65%
18%
17%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -2 |