Sweden vs Finland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.8%
Win probability
3.65
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.5%
6-0
3%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
0.1%
+6
5.1%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
3.1%
7-2
0.9%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
9.1%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
5.2%
6-2
1.7%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.7%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.3%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
0.1%
0
9.6%
6.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1931 |
HUN
3 - 1
SWE
57%
19%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1931 |
NOR
2 - 1
SWE
39%
22%
40%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 1931 |
SWE
6 - 0
LVA
83%
10%
7%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 1931 |
SWE
3 - 1
EST
84%
10%
6%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 1931 |
SWE
8 - 2
FIN
85%
9%
6%
|
80 | 58 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1931 |
DEN
2 - 3
FIN
81%
12%
8%
|
59 | 80 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1931 |
FIN
4 - 4
NOR
48%
21%
31%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1931 |
FIN
4 - 0
LVA
62%
18%
20%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 1931 |
SWE
8 - 2
FIN
85%
9%
6%
|
58 | 80 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1931 |
FIN
3 - 1
EST
57%
20%
24%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |