Sweden vs Finland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85%
Win probability
3.58
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.5%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.1%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
3%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.2%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
5%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.2%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.3%
9.2%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.2%
5.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 1931 |
SWE
3 - 1
DEN
64%
18%
18%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1931 |
SWE
0 - 0
GER
70%
16%
15%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1930 |
AUT
4 - 1
SWE
56%
20%
25%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1930 |
BEL
2 - 2
SWE
37%
22%
41%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1930 |
FIN
4 - 4
SWE
29%
21%
49%
|
80 | 57 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 1931 |
FIN
3 - 1
EST
57%
20%
24%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1930 |
FIN
4 - 4
SWE
29%
21%
49%
|
57 | 80 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1930 |
EST
4 - 0
FIN
66%
18%
17%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 1930 |
LVA
3 - 0
FIN
64%
18%
18%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 1930 |
FIN
1 - 6
DEN
39%
23%
38%
|
59 | 80 | 21 | 0 |