Sweden vs Finland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.9%
Win probability
3.49
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.7%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.7%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.7%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.9%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.8%
6.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 1929 |
SWE
6 - 2
NED
68%
16%
16%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1928 |
DEN
3 - 1
SWE
54%
20%
26%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1928 |
SWE
2 - 0
GER
71%
15%
14%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1928 |
FIN
2 - 3
SWE
35%
22%
43%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 1928 |
SWE
2 - 3
AUT
62%
18%
20%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1928 |
FIN
2 - 3
SWE
35%
22%
43%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1928 |
LVA
2 - 1
FIN
63%
19%
18%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 1928 |
FIN
2 - 2
EST
63%
18%
19%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1928 |
FIN
0 - 6
NOR
65%
17%
18%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1927 |
FIN
3 - 1
LVA
61%
19%
21%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |