Sweden vs Finland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
16.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 1923 |
SWE
4 - 2
AUT
51%
22%
27%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1923 |
SWE
2 - 4
ENG
37%
23%
40%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1922 |
DEN
1 - 2
SWE
72%
16%
12%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1922 |
NOR
0 - 5
SWE
59%
20%
21%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 1922 |
SWE
0 - 0
NOR
55%
20%
25%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 1923 |
NOR
3 - 0
FIN
60%
20%
20%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1922 |
FIN
1 - 3
NOR
58%
20%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1922 |
FIN
10 - 2
EST
59%
20%
21%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 1922 |
FIN
1 - 5
HUN
39%
23%
37%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 1922 |
FIN
1 - 4
SWE
60%
20%
20%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |