Sweden vs Finland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.8%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.9%
10.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1919 |
SWE
3 - 0
DEN
44%
23%
34%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1919 |
FIN
3 - 3
SWE
51%
22%
27%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1919 |
SWE
1 - 5
NOR
78%
13%
10%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 1919 |
SWE
4 - 1
NED
43%
22%
35%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 1919 |
NOR
4 - 3
SWE
40%
24%
36%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1919 |
FIN
3 - 3
SWE
51%
22%
27%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1919 |
SWE
1 - 0
FIN
76%
14%
10%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1914 |
SWE
4 - 3
FIN
75%
14%
11%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 1912 |
NED
9 - 0
FIN
83%
11%
7%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 1912 |
GBR
4 - 0
FIN
59%
20%
22%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -2 |