Sweden vs Finland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.7%
10.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1918 |
SWE
1 - 2
DEN
48%
22%
30%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1918 |
NOR
2 - 1
SWE
38%
25%
38%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1918 |
DEN
3 - 0
SWE
75%
15%
10%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 May. 1918 |
SWE
2 - 0
NOR
83%
11%
7%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1917 |
SWE
1 - 2
DEN
51%
21%
27%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1914 |
SWE
4 - 3
FIN
75%
14%
11%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 1912 |
NED
9 - 0
FIN
83%
11%
7%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 1912 |
GBR
4 - 0
FIN
59%
20%
22%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -2 |
| 30 Jun. 1912 |
RUS
1 - 2
FIN
69%
17%
14%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 1912 |
ITA
2 - 3
FIN
70%
16%
14%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |