Sweden vs Estonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
13.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
17.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.7%
1-0
14%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.5%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.3%
4.7%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
AZE
3 - 0
SWE
9%
19%
72%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2023 |
BEL
1 - 1
SWE
76%
15%
10%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
SWE
3 - 1
MDA
84%
12%
4%
|
87 | 51 | 36 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
SWE
1 - 3
AUT
51%
24%
25%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
EST
0 - 5
SWE
12%
21%
67%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Estonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
EST
0 - 2
AUT
11%
20%
69%
|
63 | 86 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
EST
1 - 1
THA
30%
23%
47%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
EST
0 - 2
AZE
48%
25%
27%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
BEL
5 - 0
EST
93%
6%
2%
|
64 | 93 | 29 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
EST
0 - 5
SWE
12%
21%
67%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |