Sweden vs Estonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.1%
Win probability
3.96
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.7%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.8%
7-0
2.5%
8-1
1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.7%
6-0
4.4%
7-1
2.1%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
0.1%
+6
7%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
3.7%
7-2
0.9%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
11.4%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
5.6%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.7%
6.9%
Draw
0-0
0.8%
1-1
2.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
6.9%
3.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 1937 |
SWE
4 - 0
FIN
87%
8%
5%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1937 |
SWE
0 - 4
ENG
58%
18%
25%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1936 |
FIN
1 - 2
SWE
40%
20%
40%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 1936 |
JPN
3 - 2
SWE
38%
21%
41%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 1936 |
SWE
3 - 4
NOR
77%
12%
10%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Estonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 1937 |
LTU
1 - 2
EST
60%
19%
21%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1936 |
LVA
2 - 1
EST
68%
17%
15%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1936 |
LTU
1 - 2
EST
62%
19%
19%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 1936 |
EST
2 - 2
FIN
51%
21%
28%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1936 |
LTU
2 - 0
EST
59%
20%
22%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |