Sweden vs Estonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.7%
Win probability
3.78
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.4%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.9%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
1.8%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
0.1%
+6
5.9%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
3.4%
7-2
0.9%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
10.2%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
5.4%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.9%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.1%
8.2%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
8.2%
4.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1932 |
SUI
2 - 1
SWE
37%
21%
42%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1932 |
SWE
8 - 1
LTU
87%
8%
5%
|
79 | 55 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1932 |
GER
4 - 3
SWE
53%
20%
27%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 1932 |
SWE
3 - 4
AUT
54%
19%
27%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 1932 |
EST
1 - 3
SWE
33%
22%
46%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Estonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 1933 |
LVA
2 - 0
EST
63%
19%
19%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1932 |
LVA
1 - 0
EST
63%
19%
19%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 1932 |
EST
1 - 2
LTU
67%
17%
16%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 1932 |
EST
0 - 3
FIN
61%
19%
20%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 1932 |
LTU
1 - 0
EST
48%
22%
31%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | -1 |