Sweden vs Estonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.6%
11.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 1924 |
SWE
5 - 0
EGY
69%
17%
14%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1924 |
DEN
2 - 3
SWE
64%
19%
18%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1924 |
SWE
3 - 1
NED
47%
22%
31%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 1924 |
SUI
2 - 1
SWE
55%
21%
24%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1924 |
SWE
5 - 0
EGY
62%
19%
19%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Estonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 1924 |
EST
1 - 4
TUR
43%
24%
33%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1924 |
NED
3 - 1
EST
75%
14%
11%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1924 |
USA
1 - 0
EST
64%
19%
18%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1923 |
EST
2 - 1
FIN
54%
22%
24%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 1923 |
EST
1 - 4
POL
51%
23%
27%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -2 |