Sweden vs Egypt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
19.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1924 |
SWE
8 - 1
BEL
49%
22%
30%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1924 |
SWE
5 - 1
POL
60%
20%
20%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 1923 |
POL
2 - 2
SWE
55%
22%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1923 |
HUN
2 - 1
SWE
73%
15%
12%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1923 |
SWE
1 - 3
DEN
50%
22%
28%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1924 |
EGY
3 - 0
HUN
36%
24%
40%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1920 |
EGY
4 - 2
YUG
91%
6%
2%
|
71 | 6 | 65 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1920 |
ITA
2 - 1
EGY
62%
20%
19%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |