Sweden vs Denmark analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
32.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2009 |
SRB
2 - 0
SWE
22%
28%
51%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
POR
0 - 0
SWE
60%
23%
17%
|
93 | 96 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
AUT
0 - 2
SWE
34%
27%
39%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2009 |
MEX
0 - 1
SWE
53%
24%
23%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
USA
3 - 2
SWE
53%
25%
22%
|
93 | 94 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2009 |
DEN
3 - 0
ALB
81%
14%
5%
|
94 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
MLT
0 - 3
DEN
13%
23%
64%
|
94 | 53 | 41 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
GRC
1 - 1
DEN
35%
28%
37%
|
94 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2008 |
DEN
0 - 1
WAL
72%
18%
10%
|
95 | 88 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
DEN
3 - 0
MLT
82%
13%
5%
|
95 | 53 | 42 | 0 |