Sweden vs Denmark analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
14.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1984 |
SWE
4 - 0
MLT
93%
5%
2%
|
85 | 54 | 31 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1984 |
SUI
0 - 0
SWE
37%
27%
35%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1983 |
MEX
2 - 0
SWE
45%
27%
28%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 1983 |
BRB
0 - 4
SWE
16%
23%
62%
|
86 | 37 | 49 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1983 |
TTO
0 - 5
SWE
24%
25%
52%
|
85 | 59 | 26 | +1 |
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1984 |
CSK
1 - 0
DEN
74%
17%
9%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1984 |
ESP
2 - 1
DEN
72%
19%
9%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1984 |
NED
6 - 0
DEN
71%
19%
10%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1983 |
GRC
0 - 2
DEN
39%
25%
36%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1983 |
HUN
1 - 0
DEN
77%
16%
8%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |