Sweden vs Denmark analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
15.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1981 |
FIN
2 - 1
SWE
17%
20%
63%
|
83 | 56 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1980 |
ISR
0 - 0
SWE
40%
27%
32%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1980 |
NIR
3 - 0
SWE
40%
27%
33%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1980 |
BGR
2 - 3
SWE
42%
27%
32%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1980 |
SWE
0 - 1
SCO
48%
27%
26%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1981 |
LUX
1 - 2
DEN
26%
28%
47%
|
78 | 40 | 38 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1981 |
DEN
2 - 1
ROU
48%
26%
26%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 1980 |
DEN
4 - 0
LUX
85%
10%
4%
|
77 | 41 | 36 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1980 |
ITA
2 - 0
DEN
81%
14%
5%
|
77 | 92 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1980 |
DEN
0 - 1
GRC
68%
18%
15%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |