Sweden vs Denmark analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
12.7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1979 |
SGP
0 - 5
SWE
15%
22%
63%
|
84 | 42 | 42 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1979 |
MAS
1 - 3
SWE
30%
25%
45%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1979 |
LUX
1 - 1
SWE
17%
22%
61%
|
84 | 42 | 42 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1979 |
CSK
4 - 1
SWE
68%
19%
12%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1979 |
ITA
1 - 0
SWE
72%
19%
10%
|
84 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1979 |
ESP
1 - 3
DEN
78%
16%
6%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1979 |
BGR
3 - 0
DEN
58%
21%
21%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1979 |
DEN
1 - 0
FIN
84%
10%
6%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1979 |
ENG
1 - 0
DEN
84%
12%
4%
|
76 | 92 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1979 |
FIN
0 - 0
DEN
32%
25%
43%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |