Sweden vs Denmark analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.1%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 1972 |
AUT
2 - 0
SWE
44%
26%
31%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1972 |
SWE
0 - 0
HUN
39%
26%
35%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1972 |
SWE
1 - 2
CSK
60%
22%
18%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1972 |
SUI
1 - 1
SWE
32%
26%
42%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1971 |
ITA
3 - 0
SWE
69%
19%
13%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 1972 |
DEN
3 - 0
FIN
77%
14%
10%
|
74 | 51 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1972 |
ROU
2 - 3
DEN
61%
20%
19%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1972 |
DEN
1 - 2
ENG
84%
10%
6%
|
73 | 16 | 57 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1972 |
DEN
0 - 1
ALE
86%
9%
5%
|
73 | 9 | 64 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1971 |
DEN
2 - 1
ROU
44%
24%
32%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |