Sweden vs Denmark analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.5%
Win probability
3.19
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.9%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
12%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12%
8.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1962 |
NOR
2 - 1
SWE
28%
23%
49%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1962 |
NOR
0 - 2
SWE
27%
22%
50%
|
86 | 62 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1962 |
FIN
0 - 3
SWE
28%
21%
51%
|
86 | 42 | 44 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1962 |
SWE
0 - 2
SUN
82%
11%
7%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1962 |
SWE
3 - 1
CSK
74%
14%
11%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1962 |
DEN
4 - 1
NED
68%
16%
16%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1962 |
FIN
1 - 6
DEN
31%
22%
47%
|
77 | 42 | 35 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1962 |
DEN
3 - 1
ANT
85%
9%
6%
|
77 | 51 | 26 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 1962 |
DEN
6 - 1
MLT
73%
14%
13%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1962 |
DEN
6 - 1
NOR
75%
14%
11%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | +1 |