Sweden vs Denmark analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.1%
Win probability
3.46
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.8%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.9%
4-0
8%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.1%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.8%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.4%
5.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1958 |
NOR
0 - 2
SWE
35%
22%
43%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1958 |
FIN
1 - 7
SWE
31%
21%
48%
|
85 | 46 | 39 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1958 |
BRA
5 - 2
SWE
74%
15%
12%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 1958 |
BRD
1 - 3
SWE
63%
19%
19%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 1958 |
SWE
2 - 0
SUN
92%
5%
3%
|
85 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1958 |
NED
5 - 1
DEN
63%
18%
19%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1958 |
DEN
1 - 1
GER
32%
22%
46%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1958 |
FIN
1 - 4
DEN
40%
22%
38%
|
74 | 46 | 28 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1958 |
DEN
1 - 2
NOR
73%
15%
12%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 May. 1958 |
DEN
3 - 2
POL
76%
14%
10%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | +1 |