Sweden vs Denmark analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
4%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
4%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.4%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
15.5%
15.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1939 |
NOR
2 - 3
SWE
54%
20%
27%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1939 |
NOR
1 - 0
SWE
55%
19%
26%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 1939 |
SWE
7 - 0
LTU
91%
6%
3%
|
78 | 48 | 30 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1939 |
SWE
5 - 1
FIN
87%
8%
5%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 1939 |
SWE
3 - 2
NOR
70%
15%
16%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1939 |
DEN
8 - 1
FIN
83%
10%
7%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1939 |
DEN
0 - 2
GER
54%
20%
26%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 1939 |
DEN
6 - 3
NOR
64%
17%
19%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 1939 |
DEN
5 - 0
FIN
82%
11%
7%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1939 |
ITA
3 - 2
DEN
77%
14%
10%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |