Sweden vs Denmark analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
3.06
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
4%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.3%
13.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 1935 |
SWE
2 - 2
FIN
86%
9%
6%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1934 |
SWE
3 - 1
LVA
86%
8%
5%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 1934 |
FIN
5 - 4
SWE
39%
21%
40%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 1934 |
SWE
3 - 3
NOR
76%
13%
12%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1934 |
DEN
3 - 5
SWE
58%
19%
23%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1934 |
DEN
2 - 5
GER
58%
19%
23%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1934 |
NOR
3 - 1
DEN
54%
20%
25%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 1934 |
FIN
2 - 1
DEN
46%
21%
33%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1934 |
DEN
3 - 5
SWE
58%
19%
23%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 May. 1934 |
DEN
4 - 2
POL
68%
17%
16%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | +1 |