Sweden vs Denmark analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.7%
15.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 1933 |
SWE
6 - 2
EST
87%
8%
5%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1932 |
SUI
2 - 1
SWE
37%
21%
42%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1932 |
GER
4 - 3
SWE
53%
20%
27%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1932 |
SWE
8 - 1
LTU
87%
8%
5%
|
79 | 57 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 1932 |
SWE
3 - 4
AUT
54%
19%
27%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 1933 |
DEN
2 - 2
NOR
68%
16%
16%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1932 |
DEN
3 - 1
SCO
89%
7%
4%
|
80 | 9 | 71 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1932 |
NOR
1 - 2
DEN
54%
20%
26%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1932 |
FIN
4 - 2
DEN
43%
22%
35%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1932 |
DEN
3 - 1
SWE
54%
19%
27%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |