Sweden vs Denmark analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.9%
17.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 1931 |
SWE
0 - 0
GER
70%
16%
15%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1930 |
AUT
4 - 1
SWE
56%
20%
25%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1930 |
BEL
2 - 2
SWE
37%
22%
41%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1930 |
FIN
4 - 4
SWE
29%
21%
49%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 1930 |
SWE
0 - 3
POL
77%
13%
10%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 1931 |
DEN
0 - 2
NED
69%
16%
15%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1931 |
DEN
3 - 1
NOR
73%
15%
13%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1930 |
NOR
1 - 0
DEN
45%
23%
33%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1930 |
DEN
6 - 3
GER
65%
18%
17%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1930 |
DEN
6 - 1
SWE
56%
20%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |