Sweden vs Denmark analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
35.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1921 |
SWE
0 - 3
NOR
67%
17%
16%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 1921 |
SWE
1 - 3
AUT
60%
20%
21%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 1921 |
EST
0 - 0
SWE
55%
21%
24%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1921 |
NOR
3 - 1
SWE
49%
23%
28%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 May. 1921 |
SWE
0 - 3
FIN
73%
15%
12%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1921 |
DEN
3 - 1
NOR
78%
13%
9%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1921 |
DEN
1 - 1
NED
62%
19%
19%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1920 |
SWE
0 - 2
DEN
50%
22%
28%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 1920 |
ESP
1 - 0
DEN
46%
23%
31%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 1920 |
NOR
1 - 1
DEN
31%
24%
45%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |